Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000754 0.000860 0.000973 0.001101 0.001241 0.001390 0.001561
2025-03-23 0.000582 0.000728 0.000894 0.001093 0.001326 0.001588 0.001902
2025-03-30 0.000494 0.000657 0.000851 0.001094 0.001389 0.001731 0.002156
2025-04-06 0.000420 0.000592 0.000805 0.001083 0.001430 0.001845 0.002374
2025-04-13 0.000359 0.000535 0.000759 0.001062 0.001453 0.001932 0.002555
2025-04-20 0.000326 0.000509 0.000751 0.001086 0.001528 0.002081 0.002815
2025-04-27 0.000296 0.000483 0.000738 0.001101 0.001590 0.002215 0.003056
2025-05-04 0.000261 0.000446 0.000708 0.001089 0.001614 0.002297 0.003232
2025-05-11 0.000229 0.000410 0.000674 0.001068 0.001625 0.002360 0.003383
2025-05-18 0.000211 0.000393 0.000665 0.001082 0.001681 0.002484 0.003615
2025-05-25 0.000191 0.000372 0.000650 0.001085 0.001720 0.002585 0.003817
2025-06-01 0.000166 0.000339 0.000613 0.001053 0.001707 0.002613 0.003922
2025-06-08 0.000144 0.000308 0.000579 0.001022 0.001697 0.002645 0.004033
2025-06-15 0.000130 0.000291 0.000563 0.001020 0.001727 0.002733 0.004224
2025-06-22 0.000117 0.000275 0.000549 0.001019 0.001758 0.002824 0.004419
2025-06-29 0.000105 0.000257 0.000531 0.001009 0.001774 0.002892 0.004582
2025-07-06 0.000092 0.000238 0.000507 0.000990 0.001774 0.002936 0.004713
2025-07-13 0.000087 0.000233 0.000509 0.001012 0.001840 0.003077 0.004984
2025-07-20 0.000081 0.000226 0.000507 0.001026 0.001892 0.003200 0.005231
2025-07-27 0.000072 0.000212 0.000490 0.001015 0.001903 0.003260 0.005386
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000197 0.000469 0.000995 0.001901 0.003299 0.005512
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000191 0.000467 0.001009 0.001951 0.003420 0.005760
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000183 0.000459 0.001011 0.001983 0.003513 0.005967